Highest priced homes lose marketshare to low and mid priced homes

February 14, 2010

El Paso’s market is the only market in Texas to have posted positive home sales consistently throughout 2009.  When reviewing final price distributions for 2009, it’s clear low and middle priced homes increased not only in share, but also number.  Homes above $250,000 lost marketshare.  Two categories between $300,000 and $499,999 had double digit loses.

Price Range Percent Distribution # of Sales
2008 2009 2008 2009 Change
$29,999 or less 0.1 0.3 5 16 237.31%
30,000 - 39,999 0.3 0.4 14 21 49.92%
40,000 - 49,999 0.6 0.5 29 27 -6.30%
50,000 - 59,999 1.2 1.3 57 70 21.81%
60,000 - 69,999 1.7 2.3 81 124 52.12%
70,000 - 79,999 4.1 4.2 196 226 15.18%
80,000 - 89,999 6.8 5.7 325 306 -5.75%
90,000 - 99,999 8.1 7.6 387 408 5.50%
Under 100k 22.9 22.3 1,094 1,198 9.49%
100k - 119,999 15.8 17.9 755 961 27.38%
120k - 139,999 15.5 16.8 740 902 21.87%
140k - 159,999 10.3 11.4 492 612 24.45%
100k - 160k 41.6 46.1 1,987 2,476 24.60%
160k - 179,999 8.8 8 420 430 2.22%
180k - 199,999 5.7 5.4 272 290 6.52%
200k - 249,999 9 9.1 430 489 13.69%
250k - 299,999 5.1 4.2 244 226 -7.40%
300k - 399,999 4.3 2.9 205 156 -24.17%
400k - 499,999 1.4 1 67 54 -19.69%
500k and more 1.2 1 57 54 -6.30%

The greatest increase came in the under $29,999 category, which shows 237 percent increase, even though this is only the difference of 11 homes.  About half of the categories with positive increases have double digit increases.

El Paso leads Texas with percentage increase in sales, but prices are terrible

February 2, 2010

Sales in December 2009 are up 22 percent from 363 to 444 in El Paso.  This market is remarkable as they are even up 23 percent from 2007’s 362 sales.  El Paso is the only big market in Texas to show this type of growth.

Year Month House Sales 1 Yr Change 2 Yr Change Average Home Price % Price Change Median Home Price % 1 Yr Change Active Listings % 1 Yr Change Months of Inventory
2007 Dec 362 153,600 133,500 4,625 12.776
2008 Jan 299 -0.39 158,700 0.11 133,200 0.07 4,254 0.67 14.227
2008 Feb 328 -0.35 162,800 0.08 133,800 0.08 4,374 0.57 13.335
2008 Mar 419 -0.32 157,900 0.02 128,700 0 4,714 2.71 11.25
2008 Apr 292 -0.55 152,400 0.01 126,700 -0.01 4,840 0.49 16.575
2008 May 429 -0.33 164,200 0.08 137,800 0.06 5,155 0.63 12.016
2008 Jun 487 -0.2 168,800 0.01 142,800 0.03 5,127 0.43 10.527
2008 Jul 502 -0.12 161,700 0.01 138,500 0.03 5,012 0.32 9.984
2008 Aug 433 -0.22 160,500 -0.03 133,300 -0.04 5,085 0.31 11.743
2008 Sep 449 0.1 159,400 0.02 134,300 -0.01 5,096 0.27 11.349
2008 Oct 413 -0.06 158,500 0.01 130,500 0 5,040 0.16 12.203
2008 Nov 362 -0.06 156,100 -0.06 132,800 -0.01 4,773 0.11 13.185
2008 Dec 363 0 159,900 0.04 136,300 0.02 4,454 -0.04 12.269
2009 Jan 304 0.02 -0.38 157,700 -0.01 126,900 -0.05 4,499 0.06 14.799
2009 Feb 326 -0.01 -0.35 152,600 -0.06 130,900 -0.02 4,530 0.04 13.895
2009 Mar 435 0.04 -0.29 154,500 -0.02 133,500 0.04 4,578 -0.03 10.524
2009 Apr 381 0.3 -0.41 155,500 0.02 128,100 0.01 3,982 -0.18 10.451
2009 May 440 0.03 -0.31 148,700 -0.09 126,800 -0.08 3,940 -0.24 8.954
2009 Jun 481 -0.01 -0.21 156,300 -0.07 134,500 -0.06 3,749 -0.27 7.794
2009 Jul 478 -0.05 -0.17 157,100 -0.03 135,200 -0.02 3,704 -0.26 7.748
2009 Aug 485 0.12 -0.12 150,100 -0.06 129,600 -0.03 3,681 -0.28 7.589
2009 Sep 485 0.08 0.19 151,200 -0.05 130,000 -0.03 3,610 -0.29 7.443
2009 Oct 541 0.31 0.23 149,200 -0.06 131,000 0 3,580 -0.29 6.617
2009 Nov 570 0.57 0.47 147,800 -0.05 131,900 -0.01 3,549 -0.26 6.226
2009 Dec 444 0.22 0.23 154,200 -0.04 135,000 -0.01 - -1 0
Year Month House Sales 1 Yr Change 2 Yr Change Average Home Price % Price Change Median Home Price % 1 Yr Change Active Listings % 1 Yr Change Months of Inventory

Prices, on the other hand, continue to lag suggesting there are a lot of sales in the low end of the market.  The average home sale’s price was $154,200 in December 2009, which is a 4 percent drop from $159,900 in December 2008.  Additionally, it is the eighth month in a row with a negative yearly change.  The median home price was 1 percent lower than its 2008 counterpart dropping to $135,000 from $136,300.  It is also the eighth month with a decline.