El Paso distribution shifts toward low and moderately priced homes

December 5, 2009

El Paso continues to show a shift toward moderate and low priced homes.  Recently released data, running through October 2009, suggest end of year trends will reveal vast increases in low priced homes and healthy increases in middle priced homes, see table.

El Paso
Price Range Percent Distribution # of Sales
2008 2009* 2008 2009* Change
$29,999 or less 0.1 0.3 5 13 173.62%
30,000 - 39,999 0.3 0.4 14 17 21.61%
40,000 - 49,999 0.6 0.5 29 22 -23.99%
50,000 - 59,999 1.2 1.4 57 61 6.41%
60,000 - 69,999 1.7 2.4 81 105 28.76%
70,000 - 79,999 4.1 4.2 196 183 -6.57%
80,000 - 89,999 6.8 5.9 325 257 -20.87%
90,000 - 99,999 8.1 7.6 387 331 -14.42%
Under 100k 22.9 22.7 1,094 989 -9.59%
100k - 119,999 15.8 18 755 784 3.91%
120k - 139,999 15.5 16.7 740 727 -1.73%
140k - 159,999 10.3 11 492 479 -2.60%
100k - 160k 41.6 45.7 1,987 1,991 0.20%
160k - 179,999 8.8 7.7 420 335 -20.19%
180k - 199,999 5.7 5.5 272 240 -11.99%
200k - 249,999 9 9.1 430 396 -7.78%
250k - 299,999 5.1 4.2 244 183 -24.89%
300k - 399,999 4.3 3.1 205 135 -34.25%
400k - 499,999 1.4 1 67 44 -34.85%
500k and more 1.2 1.1 57 48 -16.39%

Almost every category under $80,000 shows an increase in marketshare over 2008.  With only 10 months of data, there is already a dramatic increase in the number of homes sold under $40,000 and between $60,000 and $70,000.  There is also a minimal increase in numbers between $50,000 and $60,000.

The other area of increase is middle priced homes.  The homes between $100,000 and $159,000 increased their marketshare over 2008, with homes between $100,000 to $120,000 already exceeded the numbers posted last year.

El Paso’s October is bright spot for state

December 1, 2009

El Paso’s home sale gains continue to exceed the other large markets in Texas.  There were 541 homes sold in October 2009, which is the highest number since August 2007.  Not only that, but they were 31 percent higher than October 2008 and 23 percent higher than 2007, as seen below.

Year Month House Sales 1 Yr Change 2 Yr Change Average Home Price % Price Change Median Home Price % 1 Yr Change Active Listings % 1 Yr Change Months of Inventory
2007 Jan 492 142,500 124,800 2,554 5.191
2007 Feb 503 151,300 124,000 2,787 5.54
2007 Mar 612 155,100 129,200 1,272 2.078
2007 Apr 642 150,600 128,100 3,241 5.048
2007 May 640 152,400 130,200 3,159 4.935
2007 Jun 607 166,400 138,900 3,589 5.912
2007 Jul 573 160,200 134,200 3,791 6.616
2007 Aug 554 165,300 138,900 3,874 6.992
2007 Sep 409 156,500 136,000 4,024 9.838
2007 Oct 439 156,400 130,900 4,337 9.879
2007 Nov 387 166,200 133,600 4,292 11.09
2007 Dec 362 153,600 133,500 4,625 12.776
2008 Jan 299 -0.39 158,700 0.11 133,200 0.07 4,254 0.67 14.227
2008 Feb 328 -0.35 162,800 0.08 133,800 0.08 4,374 0.57 13.335
2008 Mar 419 -0.32 157,900 0.02 128,700 0 4,714 2.71 11.25
2008 Apr 292 -0.55 152,400 0.01 126,700 -0.01 4,840 0.49 16.575
2008 May 429 -0.33 164,200 0.08 137,800 0.06 5,155 0.63 12.016
2008 Jun 487 -0.2 168,800 0.01 142,800 0.03 5,127 0.43 10.527
2008 Jul 502 -0.12 161,700 0.01 138,500 0.03 5,012 0.32 9.984
2008 Aug 433 -0.22 160,500 -0.03 133,300 -0.04 5,085 0.31 11.743
2008 Sep 449 0.1 159,400 0.02 134,300 -0.01 5,096 0.27 11.349
2008 Oct 413 -0.06 158,500 0.01 130,500 0 5,040 0.16 12.203
2008 Nov 362 -0.06 156,100 -0.06 132,800 -0.01 4,773 0.11 13.185
2008 Dec 363 0 159,900 0.04 136,300 0.02 4,454 -0.04 12.269
2009 Jan 304 0.02 -0.38 157,700 -0.01 126,900 -0.05 4,499 0.06 14.799
2009 Feb 326 -0.01 -0.35 152,600 -0.06 130,900 -0.02 4,530 0.04 13.895
2009 Mar 435 0.04 -0.29 154,500 -0.02 133,500 0.04 4,578 -0.03 10.524
2009 Apr 381 0.3 -0.41 155,500 0.02 128,100 0.01 3,982 -0.18 10.451
2009 May 440 0.03 -0.31 148,700 -0.09 126,800 -0.08 3,940 -0.24 8.954
2009 Jun 481 -0.01 -0.21 156,300 -0.07 134,500 -0.06 3,749 -0.27 7.794
2009 Jul 478 -0.05 -0.17 157,100 -0.03 135,200 -0.02 3,704 -0.26 7.748
2009 Aug 485 0.12 -0.12 150,100 -0.06 129,600 -0.03 3,681 -0.28 7.589
2009 Sep 485 0.08 0.19 151,200 -0.05 130,000 -0.03 3,610 -0.29 7.443
2009 Oct 541 0.31 0.23 149,200 -0.06 131,000 0 3,580 -0.29 6.617

Average and median prices are not making the strides that sales are, but sales are probably making these strides because the prices are decreasing.  The average home price of $149,200 was 6 percent lower than in October 2008’s $158,500.  The median home price of $131,000 remained constant from last October.  It is the highest price this quarter, too.